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Chris Olave

Chris Olave Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+232/-366).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +238 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +232.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chris Olave has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.4% this year, which puts him in the 88th percentile among wideouts.

Chris Olave has compiled a monstrous 123.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

Chris Olave has been among the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in a mere 60.9% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 16th percentile among wide receivers

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.5%) versus WRs this year (62.5%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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