Chris Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 9:22 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2122/-2841).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Ravens, who are enormous -9.5-point underdogs.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
Opposing QBs have averaged 49.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: most in the league.
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) versus the Falcons defense this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 2nd-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (49.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Ravens.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Ravens have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.0 plays per game.
The projections expect Chris Moore to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone in this game (2.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.0% in games he has played).

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