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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

This year, the anemic Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

The Colts safeties project as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Titans offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.90 seconds per snap.

Chris Moore's 38.3% Route Participation% this season shows a a significant drop-off in his passing offense workload over last season's 71.0% rate.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Chris Moore's pass-catching performance diminished this season, totaling a measly 1.0 adjusted catches vs 3.2 last season.

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