Chris Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Chris Moore has run fewer routes this year (61.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (32.2%).
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (70%) vs. WRs this year (70.0%).

Favors Under

The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Houston Texans have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Houston Texans have used motion in their offense on 30.9% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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