Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
Chris Moore's 11.5 adjusted yards per target this year represents a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 7.4 figure.
With an impressive 5.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Chris Moore ranks as one of the best WRs in the game in football in picking up extra yardage.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Titans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 50.2% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The fewest plays in football have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (a mere 52.7 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.7 per game) this year.

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