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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 132.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (55.6%) to wide receivers this year (55.6%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 6.14 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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