Chris Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 69.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.4 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 132.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the league (55.6%) to wide receivers this year (55.6%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 6.14 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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