Chris Moore Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chris Moore

NFL · Player Props

Chris Moore

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving TD

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+272/-459).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +278 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +272.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Texans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Moore to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the end zone this week (24.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.0% in games he has played).
Chris Moore has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Houston Texans have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.4 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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