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Chris Moore

Chris Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Chris Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+421/-936).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +430 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +421.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

Chris Moore has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.9% this year, which puts him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Chris Moore has accumulated far more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (8.0 per game).

Chris Moore's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 12.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) to wide receivers this year (63.8%).

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 10th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.70 per game this year.

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