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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to accrue 9.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • Chris Godwin's receiving talent has worsened this season, notching just 5.8 yards per game vs 7.0 last season.
  • Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 69.7%.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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