Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 28, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 68.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin has run fewer routes this season (74.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (92.4%).
Chris Godwin's play as a receiver has diminished this year, notching just 5.8 yards per game compared to 7.0 last year.
Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 68.7%.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 10th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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