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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 68.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Chris Godwin has run fewer routes this season (74.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (92.4%).
  • Chris Godwin's play as a receiver has diminished this year, notching just 5.8 yards per game compared to 7.0 last year.
  • Chris Godwin's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 68.7%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 10th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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