Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to garner 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Chris Godwin's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 47.5.
Chris Godwin's receiving performance has worsened this season, totaling just 5.5 yards per game vs 7.0 last season.
Chris Godwin's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 73.2%.
The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 7th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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