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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 70.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 72.1%.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized play action on just 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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