Chris Godwin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 26, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 70.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Chris Godwin's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 72.1%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized play action on just 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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