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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.0 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.0 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to total 9.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 23.2% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Chris Godwin's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 71.3%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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