Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-104/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to accrue 9.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
Chris Godwin has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Chris Godwin has notched quite a few less air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).
Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.5% to 69.7%.

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