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Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to garner 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Chris Godwin has notched quite a few less air yards this season (56.0 per game) than he did last season (69.0 per game).
  • Chris Godwin's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 47.5.
  • Chris Godwin has put up a lot fewer receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
  • Chris Godwin's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 79.5% to 73.2%.

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