Chris Godwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Chris Godwin

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (+102/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Chris Godwin has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (60.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
Chris Godwin has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).
Chris Godwin's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 79.6% to 74.6%.
Chris Godwin's pass-game efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating just 7.82 yards-per-target compared to a 9.83 mark last year.
Chris Godwin's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling just 4.01 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.16 rate last season.

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