Chris Godwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Chris Godwin

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Chris Godwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+201/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +209 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +201.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
Chris Godwin has accumulated a colossal 69.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Godwin's 47.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 76th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to be a less important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (16.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.2% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (57.6%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.