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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Titans are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 71.8% to 85.0%.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Buffalo's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Tennessee Titans.

The projections expect the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Titans this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's 10.0% Target Share this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his pass attack workload over last season's 16.4% rate.

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