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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo's 80.0% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 71.8% rate.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.7%) vs. TEs this year (90.7%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 33.0.
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo's receiving skills have declined this season, accumulating just 2.0 adjusted receptions compared to 3.1 last season.

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