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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

With a top-tier 15.0% Target Share (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Chigoziem Okonkwo stands as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.

As it relates to air yards, Chigoziem Okonkwo grades out in the lofty 82nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 29.0 per game.

Chigoziem Okonkwo's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 71.8% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, giving up 7.04 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.

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