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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Titans, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel last year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) last year.
  • In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
  • The model projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a less important option in his team's passing offense in this week's contest (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (16.2% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • The Bears pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. TEs last year, giving up 6.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.42 yards-after-the-catch last year: the fewest in football.

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