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Chigoziem Okonkwo

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+329/-617).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +343 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +329.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (16.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.1% in games he has played).
  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has been responsible for a monstrous 10.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile among TEs.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (59.3%) to TEs this year (59.3%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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