Chase Claypool Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 23, 2022 12:20 AM EST

Analysis

Chase Claypool Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-159/+121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chase Claypool to garner 1.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.
The Steelers are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Chase Claypool has received 15.0% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).
Chase Claypool has averaged 7.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among WRs and TEs (95th percentile).

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Opposing squads have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 103 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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