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Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Chase Claypool Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
  • Chase Claypool's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 78th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Chase Claypool has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.6%).
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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