Chase Claypool Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 14, 2022 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Chase Claypool's 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 49.5.

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