Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Chase Claypool has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (93.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (81.8%).

Favors Under

Chase Claypool has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
Chase Claypool has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
Chase Claypool's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling just 5.41 yards-per-target vs a 8.22 figure last year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (54.7%) vs. wideouts this year (54.7%).

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