Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Chase Claypool has been among the best WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.3%).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 8.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the 7th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.0 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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