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Chase Claypool

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Chase Claypool has been among the best WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.3%).

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 8.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 7th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.0 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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