Chase Claypool Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Chase Claypool

NFL · Player Props

Chase Claypool

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Chase Claypool Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Chase Claypool's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 58.3% to 65.2%.
The Detroit Lions defense has given up the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (177.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in football (68.3%) versus wideouts this year (68.3%).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 9.42 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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