Chase Brown Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Chase Brown

NFL · Player Props

Chase Brown

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a heavy favorite by 7 points.
In this week's contest, Chase Brown is anticipated by the model to place in the 83rd percentile among running backs with 15.3 carries.
Chase Brown has been given 69.7% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a terrific rate of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (77th percentile), Chase Brown has been as one of the leading pure rushers in the league this year.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (124 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bengals as the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 120.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Miami's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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