Chase Brown Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Chase Brown

NFL · Player Props

Chase Brown

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Chase Brown is expected by the projection model to slot into the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.
Chase Brown has been given 72.1% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
With a terrific record of 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Chase Brown rates among the leading pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 35.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 124.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a meager 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in the league.
The Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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