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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

In this week's contest, Chase Brown is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.2 carries.

The predictive model expects Chase Brown to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack in this contest (66.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (42.9% in games he has played).

Chase Brown's 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a significant gain in his rushing skills over last season's 16.0 mark.

Chase Brown's 4.4 adjusted yards per carry this season shows an impressive boost in his running proficiency over last season's 3.6 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bengals as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's DE corps has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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