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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

Chase Brown has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this season (41.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.7%).

Chase Brown has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Chase Brown's ground efficiency has improved this season, averaging 4.68 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.60 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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