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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Chase Brown has been a more important option in his offense's running game this season (39.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (15.7%).

Chase Brown's 45.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a noteable growth in his running prowess over last year's 16.0 rate.

Chase Brown's 5.3 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a material improvement in his running talent over last season's 3.6 rate.

Chase Brown comes in as one of the top running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.69 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.

The Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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