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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects Chase Brown to total 13.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The model projects Chase Brown to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's game (65.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (50.0% in games he has played).

Chase Brown's 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a material boost in his rushing talent over last year's 16.0 figure.

Chase Brown's 4.4 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a noteable improvement in his running skills over last season's 3.6 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 33.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 106.0 per game) versus the Chargers defense this year.

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