My Account Log Out

reorder

Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects Chase Brown to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Chase Brown's 11.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 4.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

Chase Brown's 82.4% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last year's 93.3% mark.

As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Philadelphia's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

More Chase Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™