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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Chase Brown to total 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.

Chase Brown's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 4.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Chase Brown's 80.1% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 93.3% rate.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a feeble 78.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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