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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

The model projects Chase Brown to notch 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Chase Brown's 17.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 4.5.

Chase Brown's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a meaningful growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 1.4 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Chase Brown's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 93.3% to 83.8%.

The Steelers linebackers project as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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