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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Chase Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -6-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.

The model projects Chase Brown to accumulate 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projections to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).

Chase Brown's 84.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 93.3% rate.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.8%) vs. running backs this year (80.8%).

The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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