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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The projections expect Chase Brown to accrue 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Chase Brown's 11.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 4.5.

The Raiders pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (98%) to RBs this year (98.0%).

This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing RBs: a monstrous 8.30 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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