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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Chase Brown to total 3.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Chase Brown's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 4.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Chase Brown's 80.1% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 93.3% rate.
  • Chase Brown's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a mere 3.59 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.70 figure last season.

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