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Chase Brown

Chase Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Chase Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Chase Brown to accumulate 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are expected by the projections to call just 62.6 total plays in this contest: the 9th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • Chase Brown's 84.5% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 93.3% rate.
  • Chase Brown's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating just 4.12 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.70 figure last year.
  • Chase Brown's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, notching a measly 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 13.86 mark last year.

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