CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-113/+108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 127.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Cowboys this year (a mere 51.5 per game on average).
CeeDee Lamb has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 35.3% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
When it comes to air yards, CeeDee Lamb ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a superb 116.0 per game.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 28.6 per game) this year.

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