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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 87.9% of snaps vs just 71.5% last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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