CeeDee Lamb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
CeeDee Lamb has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 87.9% of snaps vs just 71.5% last season.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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