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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With an outstanding 6.5 adjusted receptions per game (94th percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.

CeeDee Lamb's 60.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 67.6.

This year, the formidable Eagles defense has given up a paltry 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.

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