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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to notch 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
  • CeeDee Lamb is positioned as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 5.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 22.3% Target% this year illustrates a meaningful regression in his air attack utilization over last year's 28.8% figure.
  • The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (54.5%) to wideouts this year (54.5%).

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