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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accrue 9.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (31.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (20.3%).
  • CeeDee Lamb has been among the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
  • CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.2% to 58.3%.
  • The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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