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CeeDee Lamb
NFL · Player Props
CeeDee Lamb
WR · Dallas Cowboys
Receptions
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM UTC
NFL Props CeeDee Lamb Receptions

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -143.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 8.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 75.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 47.4.
  • CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 5.7 yards per game vs a measly 4.6 last year.
Favors Under
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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