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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 8.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among WRs.

CeeDee Lamb's 75.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 47.4.

CeeDee Lamb's pass-catching performance improved this year, totaling 5.7 yards per game vs a measly 4.6 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.

The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).

The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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