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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this season (31.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (20.3%).
  • CeeDee Lamb has been among the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.2%) versus wide receivers this year (69.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • CeeDee Lamb's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.2% to 59.7%.

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