CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 11:48:26 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 8, 2026 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-104/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
In this week's contest, CeeDee Lamb is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.7 targets.
CeeDee Lamb has been a much bigger part of his team's passing offense this year (32.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (25.6%).
After totaling 112.0 air yards per game last year, CeeDee Lamb has seen marked improvement this year, currently pacing 121.0 per game.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per play.
This year, the formidable Buccaneers defense has allowed a meager 106.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-fewest in football.
Since the start of last season, the tough Buccaneers defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.6 yards.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.