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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect CeeDee Lamb to total 8.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 76.8% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a a noteable progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 71.7% mark.
  • With an outstanding 10.3 adjusted yards per target (82nd percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb stands as one of the leading WRs in the game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a much smaller part of his offense's passing game this year (22.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (28.8%).
  • CeeDee Lamb has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
  • CeeDee Lamb's 72.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a a remarkable decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 82.0 mark.

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